The only thing that is scaring people is their own inability to look at data and answer their own questions.
this guidance mentioned by the cdc was established on March 24. So in three weeks since then, the famous Montana doctor that has been referenced in the last couple of pages. Her state has reported 6 deaths so far. The state of Montana has reported 6 deaths. Where are the massive number of deaths that she was predicting according to this guidance. That’s right, there not there because the average doctor is able to realize that determining cause of death is still at their discretion.
Montana has about a million people who live there. Let’s compare this with a state like California that has about 40 million people and just over 600 deaths. in three weeks, a state like California that has 2 major international airports that provide a point of entry for at least 60% of the Asian population that seeks to immigrate to the us, is still only reporting over 600 deaths.
again this reflects a reality that the average doctor understands that cause of death is at the discretion of the doctor.
let’s compare Michigan and California to look at whether social distancing has any impact on these numbers. Michigan issued a shelter in place order a little over a week after California did. They have a quarter of California’s population size at 10 million, but they are reporting almost 1500 deaths.
then let’s compare this with Montana again that is only reporting 6 deaths. Do you think a doctor in Montana is going to be exposed in the same way to this experience as a doctor in California or Michigan. No they aren’t, so while some of her concerns are valid. There is no evidence after three weeks that the cdc guidance in inflating numbers irresponsibly.
logically if this were true, California would have a higher reported death count than Michigan.
the problem is that most people aren’t looking at numbers and being vigilant. They are looking for an independent news piece or some other source to still do the job of thinking for them or telling them how to think about something that they still probably don’t have a lot of direct experience with. Some parts of the us in particular have not seen much of this situation become an issue. However, that doesn’t really mean you can speak for the country as a whole.
The biggest indicator of how social distancing has been effective is seen with our overall count. The news says we are 20,000 ish in the us. However, we have over 500,000 cases and around 300 million people. Spain and Italy have around 150,000 cases and around 20,000 deaths with much smaller population sizes.
if we keep going at this rate, things should return to normal. However, there is also the reality of under reporting that is created by approving private labs for testing. The CDC approved this around the same time they created the guidance about death certificates.
Everything in life is not a political subject. The numbers don’t support an argument of an inflated death count. This is just an opinion that is derived from a political bias for one reason or another. Look at the numbers for yourselves and try to form your own conclusions. I use this website to follow numbers. It is wishful thinking to assume that this isn’t real.
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Lets ignore hundreds of thousands of doctors to listen to one just because whatever she is saying fits with whatever new quackery I just came up with
