I’m interested in hearing what you think about a couple of articles that I just read. From a blog article discusses the differences between how the ons is collecting data seems to be very thorough since they will be evaluating this number from the death certificates.
however, another article I read discussing this process, suggests the numbers will end up being higher than they currently are because of this. What do you think about this?
The new figures are based on deaths registered 'where Covid-19 is mentioned anywhere on the death certificate'.
metro.co.uk
blog.ons.gov.uk
Everyone is arguing about figures, and trying to second guess things. Asking wether to many or too few deaths are being attributed to covid-19.
In my opinion it doesn't matter. People die, something gets written on the certificate.
The death gets registered and the ONS put it into the Necronomicon. (lol, joke. The book of dead names - the death register)
But all deaths should be registered. Therefore it doesnt matter what people were registered as dying of, it is wether this years deaths are higher or lower than the average for this time of year.
The difference in the figures is the difference that covid is making.
The provisional chart for the early part of the year (shown in the metro article) shows that on the whole
less deaths were registered in the period up to 20th March than the average figure for the previous 5 years.
There could be a number of reasons for this. Late registrations would be one. Less deaths than normal would be another.
Only time will tell.
And obviously, it would be possible to 'fix' the BMD, but it would be a tricky thing to do.