rainerann
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- Joined
- Mar 18, 2017
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- 4,550
Read your own quote one more time and think about it very carefully. If there were 770,000 deaths due to aids in 2018, which would add to the running total of 32 million. This could be rounded to say the total in 2019 was 33 million.So if 35 million have died of AIDS 9 million in a year, worldwide is impossible?
Interestig bc this is what this site says:
"Here are the latest statistics as reported by UNAIDS: The estimated 770,000 million AIDS-related deaths in 2018 add to the worldwide total of 32 million deaths reported since the beginning of the epidemic. "
AIDS deaths 2019 - Google Search
www.google.se
Yes, a simple google search.
now you are saying it is not unreasonable that there were 9 million deaths in 2019.
if there were 9 million deaths in 2019, the total for the beginning of 2020 would 42 million instead of 35 million.
do you see the problem?
in addition to this, if you are saying there were 770,000 aids related deaths in 2018 and there were 9 million in 2019. This would be a difference of 8 million making aids related deaths in 2019 at a pandemic level that the news would not be able to ignore.
After thinking about this, my guess is that video may have suggested that 9 million people tested positive for hiv in 2019. I haven’t checked whether this figure might have been what they have said and you may have missed this while watching the video.
in this case we would match 9 million positive hiv tests with over a million positive tests results for covid. In 10 months we would know how this number compares. It is too soon to say. It looks like the number has slowed down a little bit already So there is no way of knowing whether it will continue at the same rate or slow down before we reach a full year of keeping track of this.
it could end up being lower than 9 million but we would still have to factor the shelter in place orders throughout the world as a contributing factor in reaching that final number. Whereas, we have not had to use the same approach with aids. So the numbers no matter what will only be comparable to a degree because the conditions for tracking these numbers are not the same.
numbers are easy to put in the wrong order. For example, math isn’t especially hard, but it easy easy to miss a number and then the whole result is wrong. When you see a number, slow down and think about what that number is saying. It is really easy to make mistakes with numbers.