I hope people are checking back at swprs.org. Data shows the virus is less deadly than the influenza season of the last 3 years.
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"So, the question is, if we didn’t have a lockdown in 2017, and we didn’t have a lockdown in 2018, and we didn’t have a lockdown in 2019….why do we have a lockdown now? "
"A
graphical analysis of the European monitoring data impressively shows that, irrespective of the measures taken, overall mortality throughout Europe remained in the normal range or below by March 25, and often significantly below the levels of previous years. Only in Italy (65+) was the overall mortality rate somewhat increased (probably for several reasons), but it was still below previous flu seasons."
"Depending on the country, the proportion of test-positive individuals is between 5 and 15%, which corresponds to the usual spread of corona viruses. Interestingly, these constant numerical values are not actively communicated (
or even removed) by authorities and the media. Instead, exponential but irrelevant and misleading curves are shown without context."
"Authors of the
German Risk Management Network RiskNET speak in a Covid19 analysis of a "blind fight“ as well as "insufficient data competence and data ethics“. Instead of more and more tests and measures a
representative sample is necessary. The "sense and ratio“ of the measures must be critically questioned."
From Dr. Ioannidis:
1) In reporting the mortality rate (death/infected) discrepancies exist because of modeling based on small sample sizes. We have a small number representing the denominator (infected person). What we know is just the tip of the iceberg.
2)Infection mortality is much lower than 3.4%, and probably much lower than the Imperial College figure of .9%.
3) The best data we have of random sample populations is Iceland and a town in Italy with high infection rate, which showed a MR of .03 and near 1.0 (average influenza deaths).
4) Italy has a third of the ICU beds/population than the US.
5) More anxiety has been stirred than over other SARS outbreaks because of dramatic presentations early in the course of the pandemic.
6) If we had a meter counting all 60 million yearly deaths in the world, reporting each case, it would cause the same panic.